Nevada Republican Sen. Dean Heller will need to fight like hell to keep his seat

A new poll shows Republican U.S. Sen. Dean Heller in a virtual tie with Democratic Rep. Jacky Rosen in the 2018 Senate race. It may too early for polls to mean much, but it has to give Heller something to think about when contemplating support for the disastrous Senate healthcare bill.

Not surprising, the poll found that the GOP Obamacare repeal is unpopular.

Rosen gets 42 percent of those surveyed to Heller’s 41 percent. Rosen is a relatively obscure rookie congresswoman, and Heller is neither obscure nor new to the game, so this is good news for Democrats.

On the methodology:

The survey was conducted by Democratic-leaning firm Public Policy Polling (PPP). It surveyed 648 statewide voters and has a margin of error of just under 4 percent. (Even though PPP’s methodology — robo and web question mix — is often questioned, the demographics look solid, including a 6-point Democratic registration edge and 16 percent of the sample was Hispanic. The widely respected 538 website rates PPP a “B-plus.”)

As I say, early days, but definitely a seat the Democrats need to pick up.

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