The media is starting to turn away from covering the presidential election and towards the possibility that the Democrats might win control of the Senate.
Now that we are two weeks from Election Day, however, journalists with little else to do want us to know that even if the Democrats do achieve a net gain of four seats required to take the Senate, they are unlikely to hold it in 2018.
Thank you for that.
Speaking only for myself, I’d like to enjoy Trump’s collapse along with how it is destroying the chances of Republican Senate candidates like Richard Burr in North Carolina, Kelly Ayotte in New Hampshire and Joseph J. Heck in Nevada.
The numbers for that year are stunning: 25 Democratic or Democratic-affiliated independents are up for reelection, compared with just eight Republicans. That’s as lopsided an election cycle as you will ever see.
But a look inside the numbers makes the Democrats’ challenge in 2018 all the more daunting. Fully 20 percent of the 25 Democratic seats are in states that then-Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney carried in 2012 (and even Trump is likely to carry on Nov. 8): Indiana, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota and West Virginia.
Add to that that 2018 will be the first midterm election for President Hillary Clinton, and things look dire indeed.
I don’t care. I’m going to enjoy the next two weeks and no one can take that away from me. Let’s get through all the good news before we come up with some bad, of which there will be plenty.